The USMNT is set to take on Guatemala in a crucial 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup semifinal match on Wednesday. The Americans are coming off a tense penalty shootout victory over Costa Rica in the quarterfinals, while Guatemala has made an impressive run as the underdog, most recently defeating Canada in a penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw.
Match Information
Date: Wednesday
Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
Venue: Energizer Park, St. Louis
Betting Odds:
USMNT: -375 (Risk $375 to win $100)
Draw: +475
Guatemala: +950
The over/under for total goals is set at 2.5, and the USMNT is a heavy favorite to win both halves at +155.
Why Guatemala Can Win
Guatemala enters as heavy underdogs, but their gritty performances so far have shown they are capable of surprising favored teams. Their wins over Jamaica and Guadeloupe in the group stage set the stage for a dramatic quarterfinal performance.
After falling behind to Canada, Guatemala managed to secure a 1-1 draw and win in penalties, despite being dominated in possession and shots.
However, Guatemala showed impressive control in the match, leading in statistics such as passes, pass accuracy, and shots. Their ability to grind out results makes them a dangerous opponent for the USMNT, especially if they can replicate their recent performance and maintain possession against a sloppy USMNT defense.
Why the USMNT Can Win
The USMNT has progressed in this tournament despite being without key players like Christian Pulisic and Weston McKennie. Big performances from Malik Tillman, Maximilian Arfsten, and Diego Luna have been key to their success, with Matt Freese stepping up with important saves in goal.
While their defense was questionable against Costa Rica in the quarterfinals, Green believes the USMNT has the depth and quality to get past Guatemala. Dominating possession in all four games thus far, the team can rely on Tillman, Luna, and Patrick Agyemang to continue contributing goals and assists.
The USMNT still has the edge in quality players and should have enough to beat Guatemala, despite the challenges they’ve faced.
Expert Picks and Predictions
Martin Green, a proven soccer expert and handicapper, has analyzed the game from all angles and offers two key picks for the USMNT vs. Guatemala matchup, including one with plus-money value. If you’re interested in making informed bets, Green’s analysis provides valuable insights into where the value lies for this semifinal.
USMNT vs. Guatemala Prediction: USMNT to win
Best Bet: USMNT to win both halves at +155
For detailed picks and analysis, head to SportsLine to get Green’s expert betting advice on the match.
Streaming Information
The match will be available for streaming on Fubo (free trial available).
