The 2025 NASCAR Viva Mexico 250 at Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez in Mexico City is shaping up to be an exciting event with a loaded field. Kyle Larson, fresh off a fifth-place finish at Michigan’s FireKeepers Casino 400, is one of the favorites.
The race will see some of the best drivers in the NASCAR Cup Series battle it out on one of the most challenging road courses of the year.
Before making any picks or bets for the event, let’s dive into the expert analysis and insights from NASCAR insider Steven Taranto, who has been on fire with his predictions.
Expert Picks for the 2025 Viva Mexico 250
Steven Taranto, who has correctly predicted 17 NASCAR winners, is high on road course expert Shane van Gisbergen for this race.
Van Gisbergen, known for his prowess on road courses, has earned multiple Supercars Championship titles and showcased his skill with a sixth-place finish at the EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix in Austin, Texas.
His Cup Series victory at the 2023 Grant Park 220 in Chicago proves he can win on the NASCAR circuit, making him a strong contender at the Mexico City race.
Other top contenders include Christopher Bell (+700), William Byron (+800), and Tyler Reddick (+800), all of whom have demonstrated solid road-course performances this season. Larson, with odds of +800, remains a favorite as he chases his fourth win and twelfth top-10 finish of the year.
Prop Bets and Head-to-Head Analysis
One of the most interesting head-to-head matchups for this race is between Michael McDowell (-140) and Alex Bowman (+105). McDowell has a strong road course resume, including an 11th-place finish at the Circuit of the Americas and a fifth-place finish at the 2024 Chicago race.
On the other hand, Bowman is coming off a hard crash in Michigan, which has raised concerns about his ability to perform at his best. McDowell’s experience and consistency make him a solid pick to finish ahead of Bowman.
Longshot Picks for the 2025 Viva Mexico 250
Taranto has also identified a double-digit longshot who could provide massive value for bettors. With odds of +2800, Carson Hocevar is a driver to watch.
Hocevar has impressed in previous road course races, and with his odds at such a high value, he could be a sleeper pick for an unexpected run toward the front.
Full List of 2025 NASCAR Viva Mexico 250 Odds
Here are the odds for some of the top drivers in the 2025 NASCAR Viva Mexico 250:
- Shane van Gisbergen +330
- Christopher Bell +700
- William Byron +800
- Tyler Reddick +800
- Kyle Larson +800
- Chase Elliott +1000
- A.J. Allmendinger +1200
- Daniel Suarez +1400
- Kyle Busch +1400
- Chris Buescher +1600
- Ross Chastain +1800
- Michael McDowell +1800
- Alex Bowman +2500
- Carson Hocevar +2800
- Chase Briscoe +3000
- Ty Gibbs +3000
- Austin Cindric +3500
- Denny Hamlin +4000
- Ryan Blaney +4000
- Joey Logano +5500
- Bubba Wallace +15000
- Brad Keselowski +15000
- Todd Gilliland +15000
- Justin Haley +20000
- Austin Dillon +20000
- Ryan Preece +20000
- Noah Gragson +20000
- Cole Custer +25000
- Zane Smith +25000
- Josh Berry +30000
- Erik Jones +30000
- Riley Herbst +30000
- John Hunter Nemechek +40000
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +40000
- Cody Ware +100000
- Ty Dillon +100000
- Katherine Legge +100000
The 2025 NASCAR Viva Mexico 250 at Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez promises to be an exciting race, with strong contenders like Shane van Gisbergen and Kyle Larson looking to make their mark.
Experts like Steven Taranto are predicting big things from road course specialists, but there are also opportunities to profit from longshot picks like Carson Hocevar.
Be sure to use Taranto’s expert picks and strategies to maximize your chances of success this weekend.
