The highly anticipated 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup Final will see the United States Men’s National Team (USMNT) face off against Mexico on Sunday at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas.
Both teams enter the match unbeaten, with the USMNT coming off a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Guatemala in the semifinals, while Mexico narrowly defeated Honduras 1-0 to secure their spot.
Match Details:
Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
USMNT Moneyline: +210 (underdogs)
Mexico Moneyline: +150 (favorites)
Draw: +205
Over/Under: 2.5 goals
Mexico to Win the Cup: -135
USMNT to Win the Cup: +105
Before placing your bets, SportsLine’s expert Jon “Buckets” Eimer, who has an impressive track record, offers his picks and analysis. With over 90 units of profit and a winning record of 260-133-1, Eimer’s predictions are worth considering.
Why Mexico Can Win
Mexico’s defensive prowess has been a key feature throughout the Gold Cup, with the team keeping four clean sheets. They also blanked the USMNT 2-0 in an international friendly this past October.
Mexico’s goalkeeper, Luis Malagon, has been exceptional, not allowing a goal since a 3-2 win over the Dominican Republic in the group stage. Malagon, who plays for Club America in Liga MX, posted a solid season with 10 clean sheets in 29 starts.
On the offensive side, Raul Jimenez has been crucial. The 34-year-old forward scored the only goal in the win over Honduras and has been a consistent performer for his club, Brighton & Hove Albion, in the Premier League, scoring 12 goals and adding three assists in 30 appearances.
Why the United States Can Win
The USMNT has been buoyed by the strong performances of midfielder Malik Tillman, who has scored three goals and added two assists in the tournament. His two goals in the 5-0 win over Trinidad and Tobago and his other contribution in the 2-1 win over Haiti highlight his importance to the team’s offense.
Tillman has been in great form for PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie, scoring 12 goals and providing two assists in 22 appearances.
Also providing a spark is midfielder Diego Luna. The 21-year-old has been integral in the Gold Cup, registering three goals and two assists, including two goals in the 2-1 win over Guatemala. Luna has been effective in Major League Soccer, with eight goals and four assists in 16 starts for Real Salt Lake.
Match Prediction and Picks
Based on his analysis, Jon Eimer is leaning toward an under on the total goals for this match. Given the defensive strength of both teams and the stakes of the Gold Cup Final, it’s expected to be a tightly contested match.
Eimer has also identified a few other picks, including a plus-money prop, so make sure to check his full analysis on SportsLine for more insights.
